Cognitive Razors to Optimize Decision Making
Simplifying your decision-making = drastically improved outcomes.
Simplifying your decision-making = drastically improved outcomes.
“Razors” are guidelines that help streamline your decision-making.
Simplifying your decision-making = drastically improved outcomes.
Here are 5 cognitive razor’s to help optimize your decision making process.
1. Occam’s razor
“Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler.” — Albert Einstein.
When in a dilemma to select a solution from multiple probable solutions, select the one with minimum assumptions, simplest in nature, & appears most believable.
Min risk -> Max substance.
2. Hitchen’s razor
“What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence.” — Christopher Hitchens
As a founder, be it, investors or customers, refrain from making claims that can’t be backed by facts.
Separate self-belief from projections and ideation.
3. Alder’s razor (Newton’s Flaming Laser Sword)
“That which cannot be settled by experiment is not worth debating” — Mike Alder
Remember small asymmetric bets? What can’t be experimented on in real life, don’t cushion it with far-fetched assumptions
Avoid wishful thinking.
4. Sagan standard
“Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence” — Carl Sagan
Founders are often enthusiastic about their claims but don’t go overboard.
Sounding too good to be good repulses investors the most, even if it manages to fetch a few initial customers.
5. Grice’s razor
“Conversational implications are to be preferred over semantic context for linguistic explanations.” — Paul Grice
In simple words, entrepreneurs must be skilled at reading between the lines.
Don’t take things at face value, or else you’ll lose valuable insights.